Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026 at 68.5%.

68.5%+2.5 pts 24h

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Updated · Volume $419.7K

43%62%81%100%Aug 11Aug 18Aug 25Sep 1Sep 9
OutcomeProbability24h
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?68.5%+2.5
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?13.8%+10.3
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?13.0%-5.5
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026?5.5%+1.0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026?1.3%-0.1
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $419.7K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026, is priced at 68.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

Embed this widget
TypeTheme

Free to use. Please keep the “ChanceIndex” attribution. It updates itself — no scripts, no cookies.