Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026 at 68.5%.
68.5%+2.5 pts 24h
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Updated · Volume $419.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | 68.5% | +2.5 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | 13.8% | +10.3 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | 13.0% | -5.5 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 11, 2026? | 5.5% | +1.0 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? | 1.3% | -0.1 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $419.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026, is priced at 68.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice