Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026 at 1.1%.
1.1%-0.1 pts 24h
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026?
Updated · Volume $233.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? | 100.0% | +5.0 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 16, 2026? | 100.0% | +3.9 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026? | 100.0% | +5.3 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026? | 99.9% | +11.4 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | 99.1% | +1.3 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026? | 1.1% | -0.1 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 498.8% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $233.9K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 13, 2026, is priced at 1.1%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice