Israeli Ground Incursion into Tyre: Market Odds

Prediction markets have settled Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30 at 2.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30Event concluded — awaiting official settlement

Updated · Volume $102.8K

0%20%39%59%Aug 26Sep 2Sep 8Sep 15Sep 21
OutcomeProbability24h
Israeli forces enter Tyre by September 30?2.1%-0.4
Israeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?0.0%0.0
Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?0.0%0.0
Israeli forces enter Tyre by July 31?0.0%0.0
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?0.0%0.0
Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 7?0.0%0.0

Context

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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