Jul 16, 2026
Probability fell from 98.7% to 92.8% — a 5.9-point move over the past day.
Israeli Parliament Dissolution by July 31: Live Market Odds
Prediction markets have settled Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $2.5M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16? | 100.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | 100.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17? | 100.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by February 28? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15? | 0.0% | — |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice