Sep 2, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 59.0% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Largest IPO by Market Cap in 2026: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 at 57.3%.
57.3%-0.5 pts 24h
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Updated · Volume $6.0M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 57.3% | -0.5 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 37.5% | +5.0 |
| Will xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 25.5% | 0.0 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 1.8% | -0.1 |
| Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BC have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AB have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AH have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder K have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder B have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder H have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AT have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AY have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AC have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AF have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AJ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder S have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder P have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder E have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder X have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AE have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BD have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BF have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder D have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder G have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AL have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder J have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BG have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AO have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AS have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AM have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AP have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AR have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder U have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder A have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder R have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AD have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AV have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder O have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder M have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder Q have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder W have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AK have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder N have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AU have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BB have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BH have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BA have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder Y have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder BE have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder F have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder T have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AW have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder Z have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AG have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AZ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder C have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Other company have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AQ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder I have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder L have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder AA have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Placeholder V have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.7% of the total probability.
Context
Aug 31, 2026
Probability rose from 59.8% to 61.1% — a 1.3-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 39.8% to 58.4% — a 18.6-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 36.1% to 46.7% — a 10.6-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability fell from 64.5% to 54.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 25, 2026
Probability rose from 59.0% to 64.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 24, 2026
Probability rose from 54.5% to 62.5% — a 8.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 17, 2026
Probability fell from 64.5% to 59.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 16, 2026
Probability fell from 63.0% to 57.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 15, 2026
Probability fell from 70.5% to 55.0% — a 15.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 74 tracked outcomes and $6.0M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026, is priced at 57.3%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice