Largest IPO by Market Cap in 2026: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 at 57.3%.

57.3%-0.5 pts 24h

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Updated · Volume $6.0M

0%24%47%71%Aug 10Aug 17Aug 25Sep 1Sep 9
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?57.3%-0.5
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?37.5%+5.0
Will xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?25.5%0.0
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?1.8%-0.1
Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Placeholder BC have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AB have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AH have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder K have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder B have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder H have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AT have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AY have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AC have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AF have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AJ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder S have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder P have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder E have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder X have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AE have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BD have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BF have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder D have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder G have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AL have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder J have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BG have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AO have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AS have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AM have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AP have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AR have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder U have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder A have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder R have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AD have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AV have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder O have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder M have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder Q have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder W have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AK have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder N have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AU have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BB have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BH have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BA have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder Y have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder BE have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder F have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder T have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AW have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder Z have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AG have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AZ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder C have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Other company have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AQ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder I have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder L have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder AA have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Placeholder V have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 99.7% of the total probability.

Context

Sep 2, 2026

Probability fell from 60.5% to 59.0% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 31, 2026

Probability rose from 59.8% to 61.1% — a 1.3-point move over the past day.

Aug 26, 2026

Probability rose from 39.8% to 58.4% — a 18.6-point move over the past day.

Aug 26, 2026

Probability rose from 36.1% to 46.7% — a 10.6-point move over the past day.

Aug 26, 2026

Probability fell from 64.5% to 54.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.

Show earlier updates

Aug 25, 2026

Probability rose from 59.0% to 64.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 24, 2026

Probability rose from 54.5% to 62.5% — a 8.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 17, 2026

Probability fell from 64.5% to 59.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 16, 2026

Probability fell from 63.0% to 57.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 15, 2026

Probability fell from 70.5% to 55.0% — a 15.5-point move over the past day.

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 74 tracked outcomes and $6.0M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026, is priced at 57.3%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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