Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31 at 29.5%.

29.5%0.0 pts 24h

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

Updated · Volume $418.3K

0%31%62%93%Sep 25Sep 30Oct 6Oct 11Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?29.5%0.0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?25.5%0.0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?9.3%-2.1
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by September 30?0.0%0.0
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $418.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31, is priced at 29.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

Embed this widget
TypeTheme

Free to use. Please keep the “ChanceIndex” attribution. It updates itself — no scripts, no cookies.