Russia Parliamentary Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election at 98.5%.
98.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Updated · Volume $3.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 98.5% | 0.0 |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.7% | +0.1 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.6% | 0.0 |
| Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Party U win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party V win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party W win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party D win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party O win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party H win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Other win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party I win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party K win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party L win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party P win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party J win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party S win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party X win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party B win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party M win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party G win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party E win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party N win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party F win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party C win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party R win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party T win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 34 tracked outcomes and $3.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election, is priced at 98.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice