Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026 at 51.5%.

51.5%-3.0 pts 24h

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

Updated · Volume $597.2K

43%55%66%78%Oct 9Oct 11Oct 13Oct 15Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?72.5%-3.5
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?51.5%-3.0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?17.0%-0.5
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?0.0%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $597.2K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026, is priced at 51.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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