Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31 at 50.0%.
50.0%+13.5 pts 24h
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?
Updated · Volume $897.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | 88.0% | +15.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | 79.1% | +1.1 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27? | 74.0% | +31.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11? | 73.5% | +5.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? | 73.0% | +4.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? | 72.5% | -7.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? | 72.0% | -6.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21? | 71.5% | +14.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | 67.5% | -1.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19? | 65.5% | +17.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22? | 65.5% | +18.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | 65.0% | +5.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | 61.5% | -7.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | 61.0% | +9.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | 60.5% | +7.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | 60.5% | -7.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | 56.0% | +2.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? | 54.5% | -25.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? | 54.0% | -10.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | 54.0% | -3.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14? | 51.0% | -18.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31? | 50.0% | +13.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15? | 49.0% | -22.5 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 31 tracked outcomes and $897.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice