Jul 31, 2026
Probability fell from 81.5% to 66.2% — a 15.3-point move over the past day.
U.S. Anti-Cartel Operation Outside the U.S.: Live Probability
Prediction markets have settled U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31 at 0.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $2.4M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | 0.1% | — |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 30, 2026
Probability rose from 47.1% to 84.3% — a 37.2-point move over the past day.
Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 27.0% to 85.0% — a 58.1-point move over the past day.
Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 5.0% to 32.8% — a 27.9-point move over the past day.
Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 4.7% to 42.3% — a 37.6-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 8.0% to 4.0% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice