Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026 at 3.5%.
3.5%-0.1 pts 24h
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $2.6M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | 3.5% | -0.1 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $2.6M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026, is priced at 3.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice