Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026 at 1.5%.

1.5%0.0 pts 24h

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Updated · Volume $2.7M

0%2%3%5%Sep 17Sep 25Oct 2Oct 9Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?1.5%0.0
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?0.0%0.0
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $2.7M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026, is priced at 1.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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