United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86% at 35.9%.

35.9%-19.8 pts 24h

United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?

Updated · Volume $24.3K

0%23%46%69%Jun 24Jun 29Jul 4Jul 9Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%?35.9%-19.8
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 83%-84%?32.6%+29.5
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 84%-85%?22.0%-2.5
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 86%+?5.9%-14.1
United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor <83%?0.5%-3.6

The top 5 outcomes account for 97.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $24.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, United Airlines (UAL) Q2 consolidated passenger load factor 85%-86%, is priced at 35.9%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice