US charges Hormuz fees by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026 at 10.5%.

10.5%-39.5 pts 24h

US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?

Updated · Volume $545.9K

2%27%52%77%Jul 13Jul 13Jul 14Jul 14Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?10.5%-39.5
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?5.9%-44.0
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?2.8%-19.7
US charges Hormuz fees by July 17, 2026?0.9%-16.1

The top 4 outcomes account for 20.2% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $545.9K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026, is priced at 10.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice