US strike on Mexico by...?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price US strike on Mexico by December 31 at 10.5%.

10.5%0.0 pts 24h

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Updated · Volume $3.5M

7%10%14%17%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
US strike on Mexico by December 31?10.5%0.0
US strike on Mexico by March 31?0.0%0.0
US strike on Mexico by January 31?0.0%0.0

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $3.5M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, US strike on Mexico by December 31, is priced at 10.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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