US strike on Mexico by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price US strike on Mexico by December 31 at 12.0%.
12.0%-0.5 pts 24h
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Updated · Volume $3.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | 12.0% | -0.5 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | 0.0% | — |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | 0.0% | — |
The top 3 outcomes account for 12.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $3.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, US strike on Mexico by December 31, is priced at 12.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice