US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause): Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4 at 100.0%.
100.0%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Updated · Volume $4.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | 100.0% | — |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | 100.0% | — |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | 100.0% | — |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | 100.0% | — |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | 100.0% | — |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $4.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4, is priced at 100.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice