Aug 5, 2026
Resolved: Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 6%.
WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Thresholds: Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in JulyResolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $17.8M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $70 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $45 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 18.5% to 100.0% — a 81.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 51.5% to 100.0% — a 48.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 90.0% to 100.0% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 82.0% to 100.0% — a 18.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 23, 2026
Probability rose from 73.7% to 100.0% — a 26.3-point move over the past day.
Jul 21, 2026
Probability rose from 68.0% to 100.0% — a 32.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice