Zelenskyy-Putin meeting location before 2027: Odds & Probability

This prediction market asks where the two presidents will hold their next in-person encounter before the end of 2026. Over $2.7 million has been wagered on the outcome. The market defines a meeting as any occasion where both leaders are present and interact, with resolution based on a consensus of credible reports. A meeting on Ukrainian soil under de facto Russian control (such as Crimea) would count as taking place in Russia. The dominant position is “No meeting before 2027”, trading at 87.5%. That leaves just 12.5% for any kind of sit-down. Among the potential host countries, none commands more than a few percentage points. Switzerland leads at 2.6%, followed by the United States and Qatar/UAE at 2.1% apiece. Turkey sits at 1.5%, Saudi Arabia at 0.9%, and Russia and Kazakhstan at 0.7% each. Belarus is at 0.6%, and a handful of other states—Ukraine, Italy/Vatican, India, China, Hungary—all register at 0.4%. A long tail of generic country options draws zero interest. The wide dispersion of low probabilities suggests the market sees no obvious venue should a meeting materialise. The data reflect only the current pricing of these contracts, not the motivations or diplomatic signals that might move them.