Will Zelenskyy and Putin Meet Before 2027? Latest Odds

As of 9 min ago, the market prices the chance of no meeting at 91.5%, a level that is strongly favored. In the past day, it edged 0.0 pts. The market resolves on the location of the next in-person encounter between the two leaders before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A meeting is defined as any event where both are present and interact directly. If they meet on Ukrainian territory controlled by Russia—such as Crimea—the location counts as Russia. If no meeting occurs by the deadline, the market settles as 'No meeting before 2027'. The resolution source is a consensus of credible reporting. The number reflects the market's assessment of whether the leaders will sit down before the Jan 1, 2027 deadline. The resolution rules leave little room for ambiguity: any development that makes a meeting more or less probable—such as diplomatic breakthroughs or breakdowns—would be priced in, but the final determinant is the occurrence of an actual meeting, as verified by credible reporting.