Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026 at 48.5%.
48.5%-17.0 pts 24h
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $354.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 59.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 48.5% | -17.0 |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 46.5% | +4.0 |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 39.0% | -23.0 |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 35.5% | -33.5 |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 32.5% | -5.5 |
| Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 24.5% | +5.0 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 22.5% | -0.5 |
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 15.5% | 0.0 |
| Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 7.5% | +0.2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 4.9% | +0.5 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $354.0K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026, is priced at 48.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice