Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026 at 28.5%.
28.5%-5.0 pts 24h
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $401.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 72.0% | +1.5 |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 28.5% | -5.0 |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 28.0% | -3.5 |
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 27.0% | +2.0 |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 23.0% | +1.5 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 20.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 19.5% | -0.5 |
| Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 8.6% | +0.2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 4.4% | -0.1 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $401.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026, is priced at 28.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice