Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026 at 44.5%.
44.5%+9.5 pts 24h
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $567.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will António Costa visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 44.5% | +9.5 |
| Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 41.0% | -4.0 |
| Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 12.5% | -0.5 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 12.0% | -6.5 |
| Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 9.5% | +1.5 |
| Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 6.4% | -0.2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | 3.8% | +0.1 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $567.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026, is priced at 44.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice