Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate at 60.3%.
60.3%+9.4 pts 24h
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Updated · Volume $580.1K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | 60.3% | +9.4 |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | 30.4% | +4.4 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | 6.8% | -4.8 |
| Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? | 2.4% | -5.6 |
The top 4 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $580.1K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate, is priced at 60.3%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice