Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31 at 8.0%.
8.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31?
Updated · Volume $767.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31? | 8.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 2 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 2 tracked outcomes and $767.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Iran hold a presidential election by December 31, is priced at 8.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice