Will Iran target a Arab country on...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026 at 1.5%.
1.5%-0.4 pts 24h
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026?
Updated · Volume $733.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026? | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 31, 2026? | 99.0% | +93.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | 1.5% | -0.4 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 29, 2026? | 0.5% | -1.7 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026? | 0.5% | -0.3 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 9, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 11, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 26, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 5, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 12, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 25, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 27, 2026? | 0.0% | -0.5 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 15, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 18, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 20, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 10, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 16, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 21, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 30 tracked outcomes and $733.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026, is priced at 1.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice