Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 5.5% to 3.9% — a 1.6-point move over the past day.
Mojtaba Khamenei Leaving Iran: Live Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31 at 4.5%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $117.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31? | 4.5% | -1.3 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31? | 2.8% | +0.1 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice