Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31 at 6.5%.
6.5%+1.0 pts 24h
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Updated · Volume $21.6M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | 6.5% | +1.0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 6.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $21.6M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31, is priced at 6.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice