Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026 at 10.0%.
10.0%-1.5 pts 24h
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $2.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | 10.0% | -1.5 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | 4.0% | -1.2 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 14.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 7 tracked outcomes and $2.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026, is priced at 10.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice