Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31 at 94.9%.
94.9%+86.1 pts 24h
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
Updated · Volume $230.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by December 31? | 96.9% | +61.4 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31? | 94.9% | +86.1 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 191.8% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $230.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31, is priced at 94.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice