Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 91.7% to 100.0% — a 8.3-point move over the past day.
Will Russia Enter Krasnoiarske by 2026? Live Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31 at 100.0%.
100.0%
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?
Updated · Volume $186.6K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by March 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by April 30? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 23, 2026
Probability rose from 93.8% to 100.0% — a 6.1-point move over the past day.
Jul 23, 2026
Probability rose from 66.0% to 98.5% — a 32.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 69.0% to 95.0% — a 26.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 54.5% to 66.0% — a 11.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 48.5% to 61.0% — a 12.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 18, 2026
Probability rose from 49.5% to 67.5% — a 18.0-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $186.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31, is priced at 100.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice