Jul 28, 2026
Probability fell from 5.0% to 2.9% — a 2.2-point move over the past day.
Will Russia Enter Stinky by July 31?: Prediction Market Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $116.8K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Stinky by August 31? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by September 30? | 99.8% | — |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by May 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by March 31? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Russia enter Stinky by April 30? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 26, 2026
Probability fell from 7.0% to 4.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 25, 2026
Probability fell from 9.5% to 4.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice