Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?: Result & Final Odds

Prediction markets have settled Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026Resolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before

Updated · Volume $4.2M

98%99%99%100%Jul 16Jul 18Jul 20Jul 22Jul 23Resolved Jul 23
OutcomeProbability24h
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?100.0%0.0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?100.0%0.0
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?0.0%0.0

Context

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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