Jul 26, 2026
Probability rose from 94.7% to 98.3% — a 3.6-point move over the past day.
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 2026? Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $1.2M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 93.0% to 97.7% — a 4.6-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Netanyahu to meet Trump at White House next week amid Iran war escalation — Al Jazeera
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 21.0% to 96.4% — a 75.4-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Netanyahu to meet Trump at White House next week amid Iran war escalation — Al Jazeera
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 72.5% to 96.0% — a 23.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Netanyahu to meet Trump at White House next week amid Iran war escalation — Al Jazeera
Jul 23, 2026
Probability fell from 86.5% to 53.0% — a 33.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 23, 2026
Probability rose from 77.0% to 83.0% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 21, 2026
Probability rose from 78.0% to 81.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Trump says Benjamin Netanyahu ‘will not be arrested’ if he visits the US — The Guardian
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 71.0% to 81.0% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability fell from 83.0% to 73.0% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 18, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 83.0% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice