Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027 at 11.5%.
11.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
Updated · Volume $3.7M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | 11.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $3.7M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027, is priced at 11.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice