Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 10.5%.
10.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $2.9M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | 10.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The top 2 outcomes account for 10.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 2 tracked outcomes and $2.9M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026, is priced at 10.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice